Sunday, April 29, 2012

Dreadful but Intensifying Competition in South Asia

From the speculation on the internal nuclear exposure in the previous two blogs, which is torturing the mind of tens of thousands of people here in Japan, many of them young mothers, we will broaden our view and look at what is happening in the international real politics.
Decades ago Mahatma Gandhi and his entourage was touring the coastal area of India's eastern Orissa, known for its scenic beauty and a number of huge Hindu temples.  He was terribly upset when the news was brought to him that his wife, with some other women, visited one of those temples without his knowledge which were not open to the 'untouchables'.
Not far from the place the independent India built a testing ground for missiles.  She launched Agni V, her first ICBM, from there on 19 April 2012.  It is said to be capable of delivering a nuclear warhead(s) to far-ranging targets.  The Prime Minister of India openly praised the achievement.  Thus India became the 4th country to possess ICBM after the US, Russia, and China.
So far the testfiring by India has gone uncensured, and it is likely to be so.  The nuclear weapons have come to stay in India, at least in the eyes of the government and its advisers.  But if a country, India or otherwise, is allowed a free-hand in nuclear development, what would be the basis for the international community for denouncing the testfiring by the DPRK, which, by the way, had failed on 13 April.  To be sure there is the Security Council Resolution 1874 prohibiting the DPRK such an action.  But it does not give a free-hand to other countries.
Another thing is the nuclear competition between India on one hand and China and Pakistan on the other, which India's testfiring is sure to intensify.  Already China exhibited her East Wind 31 ICBM at the National Foundation Day, 1 October 1999.  Its improved version, East Wind 31A, was shown ten years later amid great applause.  As for Pakistan, she testfired her Shaheen 1A IRBM on 25 April, 6 days after the Indian ICBM.
Thus the competition will continue endlessly.  This is the essence of the deterrence theory.  It is such a hollow, meaningless idea, nothing to enhance the great names of peoples.  Moreover, the vast resources could have been fruitfully used to help the uncared, unloved, and unwanted, of which there are tens of millions.
    

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